A steep line built from a small denominator

A worked example using a hypothetical scenario to show how the reasoning applies.

The scenario

A hypothetical chart displays a 50% strike rate from two starts beside a 25% rate from one hundred starts. Equal-height labels do not show equal evidence. Use the rate tool to inspect counts and interval width before designing the final visual.

What to take from it

Visual precision should follow the evidence available, not the number of pixels on the page.

What to check next

• Label the metric, unit and time window.
• Show missing observations instead of connecting through them silently.
• Keep sample sizes beside percentage comparisons.

Keep the conclusion specific

Separate the observation, the interpretation and the unresolved question. A worksheet is most useful when its conclusion stays within the evidence entered into it.

No chart is based on a real tipster record or live racing feed.